Sports
Bundesliga Relegation — Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
22.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range9.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)' ↔ 'Bundesliga Relegation' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.67, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-27-UNI
Resolves 7/15/2027
Polymarket condition
0x8760f5e3fd565cfa…
Resolves 7/1/2027
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