Sports

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner — Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

22.0%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range10.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

18¢

bid 12¢ · ask 23¢

24h vol $4

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Polymarket

28¢

bid 21¢ · ask 35¢

24h vol $3

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: '46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner' ↔ '46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner' (score 0.88, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker

KXCHESSOLYMPIAD-26-USA

Resolves 10/15/2026

Polymarket condition

0xb1a67b00d51ba602…

Resolves 9/28/2026

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