Sports

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner — Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

28.0%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range2.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

26¢

bid 22¢ · ask 29¢

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Polymarket

28¢

bid 21¢ · ask 35¢

24h vol $5

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Mapping notes

Event pair: '46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner' ↔ '46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner' (score 0.88, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker

KXCHESSOLYMPIAD-26-UZB

Resolves 10/15/2026

Polymarket condition

0xb19a95b81af94605…

Resolves 9/28/2026

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