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Tour de France: Polka Dot Jersey Winner — Will Valentin Paret-Peintre win the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France?

11.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
14¢
bid 12¢ · ask 15¢
24h vol $2,092
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
11¢
bid 10¢ · ask 11¢
24h vol $4,129
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey' ↔ 'Tour de France: Polka Dot Jersey Winner' (score 0.88, outcome match 0.60).

Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLINGJERSEY-26TDFRPOLKADOT-VPAR
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0xfeca624035da14c2
Resolves 8/9/2026
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