Politics / Elections

CA-14 primary: Who will advance? — Will Victor Aguilar advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?

1.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'CA-14 Primary Winners' ↔ 'CA-14 primary: Who will advance?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.40).

Kalshi ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-1426-VAGU
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x01146751630a7b7c
Resolves 6/2/2026
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