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Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Vitinha

8.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
10¢
bid · ask 11¢
24h vol $64
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
bid · ask
24h vol $289
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Ballon d'Or Winner 2026' ↔ 'Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXBALLONDOR-26-VITI
Resolves 12/31/2026
Polymarket condition
0x1bc81406764e3a1f
Resolves 10/31/2026
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