Sports

Sinquefield Cup Winner — Will Wesley So win the 2026 Sinquefield Cup chess tournament?

10.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
10¢
bid · ask 11¢
24h vol $9
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
13¢
bid 11¢ · ask 14¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Sinquefield Cup Winner' ↔ 'Sinquefield Cup Winner' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXCHESSTOURNAMENT-26SINQ-WSO
Resolves 8/29/2026
Polymarket condition
0x2270fcc138b1a006
Resolves 8/21/2026
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