Politics / Elections

California Governor winner? — Who will win the governorship in California? — Xavier Becerra

74.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
74¢
bid 73¢ · ask 74¢
24h vol $66,807
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
75¢
bid 75¢ · ask 75¢
24h vol $53,108
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'California Governor Election Winner' ↔ 'California Governor winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.60).

Kalshi ticker
KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0xa5d79e71e66c9fe1
Resolves 11/3/2026
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