Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series — Will Yahya Abdul-Mateen II win Comedy Actor at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
1.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.62).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYCACTO-26SEP14-YAH
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0x97f336016abf6077…
Resolves 9/14/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.