Other

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? — Yes

32.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range9.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
35¢
bid 32¢ · ask 37¢
24h vol $20
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
26¢
bid 25¢ · ask 26¢
24h vol $5
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?' ↔ 'Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.83).

Kalshi ticker
KXLEAVEOPEC-27
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3d4a1a3e0581eb60
Resolves 12/31/2026
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