Sports

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader — Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

37.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range8.1pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
38¢
bid 36¢ · ask 39¢
24h vol $1,018
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
46¢
bid 35¢ · ask 56¢
24h vol $2
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Home Runs Leader' ↔ 'Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader' (score 0.57, outcome match 0.56).

Kalshi ticker
KXLEADERMLBHR-26-YALV
Resolves 10/22/2026
Polymarket condition
0x0dfc102a438e3554
Resolves 10/11/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.