Sports

Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season — Will Yordan Alvarez record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

93.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
93¢
bid 89¢ · ask 97¢
24h vol $1
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
94¢
bid 90¢ · ask 97¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.83, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-YALVAREZ44
Resolves 10/3/2026
Polymarket condition
0x0976fd614b62bc4b
Resolves 10/11/2026
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