Entertainment

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026? — Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Aug 8, 2026

35.6%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range2.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

36¢

bid 34¢ · ask 37¢

24h vol $4,104

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

38¢

bid 35¢ · ask 40¢

24h vol $260

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of August 8' ↔ '#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026?' (score 0.57, outcome match 0.70, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker

KXTOPALBUM-26AUG08-YOU

Resolves 8/3/2026

Polymarket condition

0x76667a63609059f4…

Resolves 8/4/2026

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