Politics / Elections
Ljubljana mayoral election winner? — Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
68.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner' ↔ 'Ljubljana mayoral election winner?' (score 0.57, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXLJUBLJANAMAYOR-26NOV15-ZJAN
Resolves 11/15/2027
Polymarket condition
0x800f3e6daf118e27…
Resolves 11/16/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.